SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 84.16%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 5.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 4-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.38%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (1.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Fulham |
84.16% ( 0.02) | 10.06% ( -0.01) | 5.78% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.17% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.07% ( 0.02) | 21.93% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.2% ( 0.03) | 40.8% ( -0.02) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.33% ( 0.01) | 3.67% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.21% ( 0.02) | 15.79% ( -0.01) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.23% ( 0) | 43.77% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.07% ( 0) | 79.93% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Fulham |
| 3-0 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0)4-0 @ 7.99% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.99% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0)4-1 @ 6.6% ( 0)1-0 @ 5.3% ( -0)5-0 @ 5.28% ( 0)5-1 @ 4.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.91% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.73% ( 0)6-1 @ 2.4% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.8% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.37% ( 0)7-1 @ 1.14% ( 0)6-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 4.32% Total : 84.16% | 1-1 @ 4.38% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)0-0 @ 1.6% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.17% Total : 10.06% | 1-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 5.78% |
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