Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 47.95%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shonan Bellmare in this match.

Result
Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Gamba Osaka
47.95% ( 2.41)	28.34% ( -0.6)	23.71% ( -1.81)

Both teams to score 41.55% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.58% (

0.78)

63.42% (

-0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.23% (

0.56)

82.77% (

-0.56)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.28% (

1.6)

26.71% (

-1.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.02% (

2.07)

61.97% (

-2.07)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.7% (

-1.25)

43.3% (

1.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.46% (

-1.06)

79.54% (

1.06)

Score Analysis

Shonan Bellmare 47.94%

Gamba Osaka 23.71%

Draw 28.33%

Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 15.26% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.79% Total : 47.94%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.46% Total : 28.33%	0-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.63) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.02% Total : 23.71%