SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Porto had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Porto win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Porto |
38.57% ( -0.02) | 26.4% ( 0.18) | 35.02% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.02% ( -0.76) | 51.98% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.28% ( -0.67) | 73.72% ( 0.66) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% ( -0.37) | 26.31% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.56% ( -0.49) | 61.44% ( 0.49) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% ( -0.47) | 28.38% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.87% ( -0.59) | 64.12% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.57% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.02% |
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