Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Roma
45.53% ( 0.07)	27.07% ( -0.05)	27.4% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 47.7% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.95% (

0.16)

57.05% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.06% (

0.13)

77.94% (

-0.13)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75% (

0.11)

25% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.35% (

0.15)

59.65% (

-0.15)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.6% (

0.07)

36.4% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.81% (

0.07)

73.19% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 45.52%

Roma 27.4%

Draw 27.06%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 12.61% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 45.52%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.06%	0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 27.4%