Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 61.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 16.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
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