SM
| Current Third Round Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | South Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iraq | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Jordan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Oman | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kuwait | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Palestine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | South Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iraq | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Jordan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Oman | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kuwait | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Palestine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Jordan win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Iraq | Draw | Jordan |
47.48% ( -0) | 25.56% | 26.95% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.44% | 51.56% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.65% ( 0) | 73.35% ( -0) |
| Iraq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.28% ( -0) | 21.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.12% ( -0) | 54.88% |
| Jordan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.18% ( 0) | 33.81% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.52% ( 0) | 70.48% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iraq | Draw | Jordan |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% 2-1 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.33% Total : 47.48% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.32% Total : 26.95% |
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