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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Nov 14, 2024 at 12am UK
 
JN

Iraq
vs.
Jordan

 
FT

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: South Korea 3-2 Iraq
Tuesday, October 15 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Oman vs. Iraq
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Jordan 4-0 Oman
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Kuwait vs. Jordan
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Iraq 2-2 Jordan

Iraq have won each of their five home matches in the current qualifying cycle, but we think that run of victories will end with a draw against a Jordan side that have avoided defeat in each of their last four World Cup qualifying away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Jordan win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
IraqDrawJordan
47.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.56%26.95% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 51.81% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.44%51.56% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.65% (0.0010000000000012 0)73.35% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.12% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)54.88%
Jordan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.18% (0.0019999999999953 0)33.81% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.48% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Iraq 47.48%
    Jordan 26.95%
    Draw 25.56%
IraqDrawJordan
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 9.28%
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 4.73%
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.8%
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 47.48%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.34%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 26.95%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: South Korea 3-2 Iraq
Tuesday, October 15 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Iraq 1-0 Palestine
Thursday, October 10 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Kuwait 0-0 Iraq
Tuesday, September 10 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Iraq 1-0 Oman
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Iraq 3-1 Vietnam
Tuesday, June 11 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Indonesia 0-2 Iraq
Thursday, June 6 at 10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Jordan 4-0 Oman
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Jordan 0-2 South Korea
Thursday, October 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Palestine 1-3 Jordan
Tuesday, September 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Jordan 1-1 Kuwait
Thursday, September 5 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Jordan 2-1 North Korea
Thursday, August 29 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Jordan 0-0 North Korea
Tuesday, August 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies


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