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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 15, 2024 at 12pm UK
Seoul World Cup Stadium
IN

South Korea
vs.
Iraq

 
FT

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Jordan 0-2 South Korea
Thursday, October 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Kuwait vs. South Korea
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
Last Game: Iraq 1-0 Palestine
Thursday, October 10 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Iraq vs. Jordan
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: South Korea 2-0 Iraq

After keeping clean sheets against Oman, Kuwait and Palestine, the defence of Iraq will face one of the sternest tests in AFC football on Tuesday night. Even with Spurs' Son out of action, we expect that South Korea will have too much quality for the visitors, resulting in a third win of the Group B campaign for the Taegeuk Warriors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Korea win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw has a probability of 24.8% and a win for Iraq has a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Iraq win it is 0-1 (7.25%).

Result
South KoreaDrawIraq
52.51% (0.629 0.63) 24.77% (0.032 0.03) 22.72% (-0.662 -0.66)
Both teams to score 50.05% (-0.867 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.17% (-0.759 -0.76)51.82% (0.758 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.41% (-0.661 -0.66)73.58% (0.661 0.66)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)19.71% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)51.72% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.34% (-1.046 -1.05)37.66% (1.045 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.56% (-1.036 -1.04)74.43% (1.035 1.04)
Score Analysis
    South Korea 52.5%
    Iraq 22.72%
    Draw 24.77%
South KoreaDrawIraq
1-0 @ 12.05% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 9.79% (0.266 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.3% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 52.5%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.222 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.25% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 22.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Jordan 0-2 South Korea
Thursday, October 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Oman 1-3 South Korea
Tuesday, September 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: South Korea 0-0 Palestine
Thursday, September 5 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: South Korea 1-0 China
Tuesday, June 11 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Singapore 0-7 South Korea
Thursday, June 6 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Thailand 0-3 South Korea
Tuesday, March 26 at 12.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Iraq 1-0 Palestine
Thursday, October 10 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Kuwait 0-0 Iraq
Tuesday, September 10 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Iraq 1-0 Oman
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Iraq 3-1 Vietnam
Tuesday, June 11 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Indonesia 0-2 Iraq
Thursday, June 6 at 10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Philippines 0-5 Iraq
Tuesday, March 26 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia


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