SM
| Current Third Round Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | South Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iraq | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Jordan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Oman | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kuwait | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Palestine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Iraq has a probability of 32.2% and a draw has a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Iraq win is 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.97%).
| Result | ||
| Iraq | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
32.2% ( -0.05) | 27.47% ( 0.01) | 40.33% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.83% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.3% ( -0.05) | 56.7% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.34% ( -0.04) | 77.66% ( 0.04) |
| Iraq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.41% ( -0.06) | 32.59% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.87% ( -0.06) | 69.13% ( 0.06) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.45% | 27.55% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.93% | 63.07% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iraq | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.2% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.32% |
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