SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Oman | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw has a probability of 21.7% and a win for Saudi Arabia has a probability of 20.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.53%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it is 2-1 (5.41%).
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Japan |
20.19% ( 0.74) | 21.71% ( 0.18) | 58.09% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 56.26% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.16% ( 0.25) | 41.83% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.76% ( 0.25) | 64.23% ( -0.26) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% ( 0.9) | 34.47% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.81% ( 0.95) | 71.18% ( -0.95) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.86% ( -0.21) | 14.13% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.21% ( -0.4) | 41.78% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Japan |
| 2-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.05% Total : 20.19% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.71% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 6.48% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 6.08% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 3.17% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.06% Total : 58.09% |
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