SM
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Australia had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Australia win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Australia | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
36.28% ( -0.19) | 26.22% ( 0.05) | 37.49% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.47% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.86% ( -0.23) | 51.14% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.01% ( -0.21) | 72.98% ( 0.2) |
| Australia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% ( -0.22) | 27.22% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.36% ( -0.29) | 62.64% ( 0.29) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( -0.03) | 26.52% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.27% ( -0.04) | 61.72% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Australia | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
| 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.28% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.49% |
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