Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 5 |
3 | Oman | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Kyrgyzstan | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for China had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a China win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.
Result | ||
China | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
19.69% (![]() | 23.02% (![]() | 57.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.79% (![]() | 48.2% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.64% (![]() | 70.36% (![]() |
China Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.35% (![]() | 38.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.6% (![]() | 75.39% (![]() |
Saudi Arabia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.42% (![]() | 16.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.62% (![]() | 46.37% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
China | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
1-0 @ 6.09% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.2% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.46% Total : 19.69% | 1-1 @ 10.94% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.41% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.68% ( ![]() Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.01% | 0-1 @ 11.51% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.34% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.84% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.2% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.06% Total : 57.27% |
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