SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Argentina had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Argentina win was 0-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%).
| Result | ||
| Brazil | Draw | Argentina |
51.97% ( 0.02) | 23.65% ( -0.03) | 24.38% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.5% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.45% ( 0.13) | 45.54% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.13% ( 0.12) | 67.87% ( -0.12) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.47% ( 0.05) | 17.53% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.95% ( 0.09) | 48.05% ( -0.09) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.3% ( 0.08) | 32.7% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.75% ( 0.09) | 69.25% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brazil | Draw | Argentina |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.73% Total : 51.97% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.64% | 0-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.38% |
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