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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 12, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Monumental de Maturin
PN

Venezuela
1 - 0
Paraguay

Rondon (90+3' pen.)
Sosa (37'), Andres Martinez (65'), Navarro (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ortiz (42'), Gonzalez (75'), Gomez (83'), Piris (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Colombia 1-0 Venezuela
Friday, September 8 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Paraguay 0-0 Peru
Thursday, September 7 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Venezuela 0-1 Paraguay

While the visitors may have been unable to make the most of being a man up in the last match, their defensive solidity was evident as they starved their opponents of any clear-cut chances. We fancy they will manage to find the net against this opposition and also expect them to keep another clean sheet here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 56.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 17.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezuela in this match.

Result
VenezuelaDrawParaguay
56.62% (0.413 0.41) 26.06% (-0.276 -0.28) 17.32% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 39.22% (0.41 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.93% (0.67599999999999 0.68)62.07% (-0.676 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.21% (0.495 0.5)81.79% (-0.495 -0.5)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (0.461 0.46)22.17% (-0.461 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.44% (0.691 0.69)55.56% (-0.691 -0.69)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.39% (0.23 0.23)49.61% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.61% (0.161 0.16)84.38% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Venezuela 56.61%
    Paraguay 17.32%
    Draw 26.05%
VenezuelaDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 16.56% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 12.48% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.27% (0.1 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.099 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.36% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 56.61%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 10.99% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-2 @ 3.07% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-2 @ 4.07% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 17.32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Colombia 1-0 Venezuela
Friday, September 8 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Guatemala
Sunday, June 18 at 9.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Honduras
Friday, June 16 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Uzbekistan 1-1 Venezuela
Tuesday, March 28 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Venezuela
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Venezuela 1-2 Syria
Sunday, November 20 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Paraguay 0-0 Peru
Thursday, September 7 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Paraguay 2-0 Nicaragua
Sunday, June 18 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Chile 3-2 Paraguay
Tuesday, March 28 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Colombia 2-0 Paraguay
Sunday, November 20 at 1.20am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Peru 1-0 Paraguay
Thursday, November 17 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Paraguay 0-0 Morocco
Tuesday, September 27 at 8pm in International Friendlies


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