Both of these sides will enter the match in impressive form, and we are finding it difficult to pick a winner. Moldova will be the favourites, but Gibraltar are in a good place at the moment, and we are backing a low-scoring draw in the friendly fixture.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 13.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.18%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.62%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.07) 
-0.11) 
