SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 65.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 13.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.24%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ivory Coast in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Lesotho |
65.37% ( -0.47) | 21.3% ( 0.24) | 13.33% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 43.2% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% ( -0.45) | 51.84% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% ( -0.39) | 73.59% ( 0.39) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.87% ( -0.3) | 15.12% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.3% ( -0.56) | 43.69% ( 0.56) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.89% ( 0.09) | 49.1% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.97% ( 0.06) | 84.02% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Lesotho |
| 1-0 @ 14.02% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 13.24% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 65.35% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.3% | 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.62% Total : 13.33% |
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