SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Afghanistan win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 25.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Afghanistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Nepal win it was 1-0 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nepal | Draw | Afghanistan |
25.19% ( 0.26) | 25.97% ( 0.21) | 48.84% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 49.13% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.65% ( -0.6) | 54.34% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.27% ( -0.5) | 75.72% ( 0.5) |
| Nepal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.21% ( -0.11) | 36.79% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.42% ( -0.1) | 73.58% ( 0.1) |
| Afghanistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( -0.46) | 22.28% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.27% ( -0.69) | 55.73% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nepal | Draw | Afghanistan |
| 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.05% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.79% Total : 25.19% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.02% Total : 48.83% |
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