SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Yemen had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Yemen win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nepal | Draw | Yemen |
49.81% ( -0.07) | 26.28% ( 0.03) | 23.92% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.05% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.56% ( -0.06) | 56.45% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.55% ( -0.05) | 77.45% ( 0.05) |
| Nepal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( -0.05) | 22.73% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.6% ( -0.08) | 56.41% ( 0.09) |
| Yemen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.89% ( 0.01) | 39.11% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.17% ( 0.01) | 75.83% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nepal | Draw | Yemen |
| 1-0 @ 13.17% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 49.81% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 1.46% Total : 23.92% |
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