SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Palestine | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 80.53%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 5.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.44%) and 0-1 (11.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Nepal win it was 1-0 (2.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nepal | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
5.96% ( 0.12) | 13.51% ( 0.68) | 80.53% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 38.86% ( -1.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.58% ( -2.86) | 40.42% ( 2.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.2% ( -3) | 62.79% ( 3) |
| Nepal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.2% ( -1.62) | 57.8% ( 1.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.51% ( -0.91) | 89.48% ( 0.91) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.09% ( -0.8) | 7.9% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.04% ( -2.06) | 27.96% ( 2.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nepal | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
| 1-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 5.96% | 1-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.58)2-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.37% Total : 13.51% | 0-2 @ 14.71% ( 0.76) 0-3 @ 12.44% ( 0.14)0-1 @ 11.59% ( 1.04)1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 7.9% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 6.82% ( -0.27)1-4 @ 4.33% ( -0.36)0-5 @ 4.01% ( -0.29)1-5 @ 2.2% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.18)0-6 @ 1.7% ( -0.2)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.17)1-6 @ 0.93% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.78% Total : 80.52% |
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