Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mexico | 3 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Honduras | 3 | -3 | 4 |
4 | Haiti | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Kenya win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Qatar | Draw | Kenya |
56.79% ( 1.12) | 25% ( -0.49) | 18.22% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 43.22% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.43% ( 0.94) | 57.57% ( -0.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.65% ( 0.74) | 78.35% ( -0.73) |
Qatar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.74% ( 0.83) | 20.26% ( -0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.39% ( 1.3) | 52.61% ( -1.29) |
Kenya Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.2% ( -0.19) | 45.81% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.43% ( -0.15) | 81.57% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Qatar | Draw | Kenya |
1-0 @ 14.81% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.31% Total : 56.77% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.51% Total : 18.22% |
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