SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iraq | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Indonesia | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vietnam win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vietnam win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%).
| Result | ||
| Vietnam | Draw | Lebanon |
44.67% ( 0.75) | 27.63% ( -0.32) | 27.7% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 46.35% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.13% ( 0.9) | 58.87% ( -0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.63% ( 0.69) | 79.37% ( -0.7) |
| Vietnam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% ( 0.81) | 26.25% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.64% ( 1.07) | 61.36% ( -1.07) |
| Lebanon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.85% ( 0.13) | 37.15% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.06% ( 0.13) | 73.93% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vietnam | Draw | Lebanon |
| 1-0 @ 13.04% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.67% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.76% Total : 27.7% |
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