Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.
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