Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
