Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
