J1 League | Gameweek 27
Sep 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Level-5 stadium
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (11.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Avispa Fukuoka in this match.
| Result |
| Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
37.3% ( -0.11) | 29.26% ( 0.02) | 33.44% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 44.02% ( -0.03) |
| 37.2% ( -0.04) | 62.8% ( 0.04) |
| 17.67% ( -0.03) | 82.32% ( 0.03) |
| 67.64% ( -0.09) | 32.36% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.13% ( -0.1) | 68.87% ( 0.11) |
| 65.07% ( 0.05) | 34.92% ( -0.04) |
