Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 19.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 1-0 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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