Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
FC Tokyo	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
41.79%	28.31%	29.9%

Both teams to score 45.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.66%

60.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.5%

80.5%

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.53%

28.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.76%

64.24%

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.8%

36.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.01%

72.99%

Score Analysis

FC Tokyo 41.78%

Nagoya Grampus 29.9%

Draw 28.29%

FC Tokyo	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 12.94% 2-1 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 8.13% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.67% Total : 41.78%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.29%	0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.93% Total : 29.9%