Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 16.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Almeria in this match.
