Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Real Sociedad B had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Real Sociedad B win it was 1-0 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
