SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Manchester United |
40.73% ( -2.49) | 25.34% ( 0.5) | 33.92% ( 1.99) |
| Both teams to score 56.11% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.4% ( -1.67) | 47.59% ( 1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.2% ( -1.56) | 69.8% ( 1.56) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% ( -1.91) | 23.19% ( 1.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.91% ( -2.87) | 57.08% ( 2.87) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% ( 0.43) | 26.94% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.72% ( 0.56) | 62.27% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Manchester United |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.4)3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.73% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.65) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.48)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.08% Total : 33.92% |
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