Celta have found it difficult to show their best form at home this season, but they will be the favourites this weekend against lowly Mallorca. We are expecting a tight match on Sunday but fancy Celta to collect all three points, which could move them into ninth position depending on Valencia's result on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Mallorca
51.64%	24.58%	23.78%

Both teams to score 51.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.96%

50.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.98%

72.01%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.64%

19.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.85%

51.15%

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.32%

35.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.54%

72.45%

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 51.64%

Mallorca 23.78%

Draw 24.57%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 9.31% 3-1 @ 5.25% 3-0 @ 5.1% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.98% Total : 51.64%	1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.57%	0-1 @ 7.12% 1-2 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.94% Total : 23.78%