Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 59.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 15.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.48%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.63%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.