Rayo have been impressive this season, and the capital outfit will be the favourites heading into this match. Mallorca found it difficult on their travels last term, while they have made a slow start to this campaign, so we are expecting a home victory on Saturday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 44.11%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 27.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.