SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.71%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.92%) and 0-1 (6.85%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Real Madrid |
25.77% ( 0.02) | 21.52% ( -0.01) | 52.71% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 64.55% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.71% ( 0.05) | 34.29% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.81% ( 0.06) | 56.19% ( -0.06) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% ( 0.05) | 25.58% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.55% ( 0.06) | 60.45% ( -0.06) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.74% ( 0.01) | 13.26% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.95% ( 0.03) | 40.05% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 6.37% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-2 @ 1% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.77% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.52% | 1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.36% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.21% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.36% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.19% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.3% ( 0)3-4 @ 1% ( 0)0-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.15% Total : 52.71% |
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