Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 21.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match.
