SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 24 | -7 | 31 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 27 | -14 | 30 |
| 9 | University College Dublin | 26 | -33 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dundalk | 26 | 20 | 49 |
| 3 | Derry City | 25 | 18 | 45 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 25 | 12 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 47.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.08%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Derry City |
26.07% ( 0.06) | 26.57% ( 0.07) | 47.36% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 48.14% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44% ( -0.23) | 56% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.91% ( -0.19) | 77.09% ( 0.2) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.06% ( -0.08) | 36.94% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.27% ( -0.08) | 73.73% ( 0.08) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( -0.16) | 23.66% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.24% ( -0.23) | 57.76% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.25% 2-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 26.07% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 9.08% ( -0)1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.35% |
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