Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 55.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 19.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.32%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
