Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shelbourne in this match.
