SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 19 | 2 | 25 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 18 | -6 | 24 |
| 7 | Bohemians | 18 | 0 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Bohemians | 18 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shelbourne in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 54.85% | 24.73% | 20.42% |
| Both teams to score 47.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.96% | 54.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.53% | 75.47% |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.35% | 19.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.39% | 51.61% |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.76% | 41.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.23% | 77.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 13.18% 2-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 5.82% 3-1 @ 5.16% 4-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.79% Total : 54.84% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 8.1% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.18% 1-2 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 3.18% 1-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.18% Total : 20.42% |
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