SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 23 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 26 | -16 | 27 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 25 | -23 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Bohemians | 24 | 1 | 32 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 23 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 26 | -16 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.56%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Shelbourne |
28.35% ( 0.39) | 27.97% ( 0.05) | 43.68% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 45.79% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.22% ( 0.02) | 59.77% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.93% ( 0.01) | 80.07% ( -0.01) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.88% ( 0.33) | 37.12% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.1% ( 0.32) | 73.9% ( -0.33) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% ( -0.22) | 27.19% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.41% ( -0.29) | 62.59% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.78% Total : 28.34% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.09% 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.11)1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.86% Total : 43.68% |
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