SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 19 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 19 | 2 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Bohemians | 18 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 65.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 13.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.21%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 65.41% | 21.25% | 13.34% |
| Both teams to score 43.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.36% | 51.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.57% | 73.42% |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.95% | 15.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.46% | 43.54% |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.03% | 48.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.07% | 83.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 13.95% 2-0 @ 13.21% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 5.96% 4-0 @ 3.95% 4-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.13% 5-0 @ 1.5% 5-1 @ 1.07% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.03% Total : 65.4% | 1-1 @ 9.96% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 3.37% Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.25% | 0-1 @ 5.26% 1-2 @ 3.56% 0-2 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.64% Total : 13.34% |
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