Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 65.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 13.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.21%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
