Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 51.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
