SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 84%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 4.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.45%) and 1-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.38%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Dundalk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Drogheda United |
84% ( 0.16) | 11.48% ( -0.06) | 4.52% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 36.59% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.55% ( -0.22) | 37.44% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.33% ( -0.24) | 59.67% ( 0.23) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.47% ( -0.02) | 6.52% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.66% ( -0.03) | 24.33% ( 0.03) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.14% ( -0.54) | 60.86% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.92% ( -0.27) | 91.08% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 2-0 @ 14.79% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 13.45% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.42% Total : 83.98% | 1-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.3% Total : 11.48% | 0-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.22% Total : 4.52% |
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