SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 1-0 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Finn Harps | Draw | Bohemians |
24.87% ( 1.11) | 26% ( 0.77) | 49.13% ( -1.88) |
| Both teams to score 48.74% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.29% ( -2.04) | 54.71% ( 2.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.97% ( -1.72) | 76.03% ( 1.72) |
| Finn Harps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.72% ( -0.13) | 37.28% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.94% ( -0.12) | 74.06% ( 0.13) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% ( -1.64) | 22.3% ( 1.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.23% ( -2.53) | 55.77% ( 2.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Finn Harps | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 2% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.72% Total : 24.87% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.64)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.82% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.18)1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.18)0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.12% |
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