SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Waterford United |
37.92% ( -0.1) | 25.05% ( -0.02) | 37.02% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.59% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.12% ( 0.08) | 45.88% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.81% ( 0.08) | 68.19% ( -0.08) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.13% ( -0.02) | 23.87% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.93% ( -0.02) | 58.07% ( 0.02) |
| Waterford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.65% ( 0.1) | 24.35% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.24% ( 0.14) | 58.75% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Waterford United |
| 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.92% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.02% |
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