Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
