SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 19 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 19 | 2 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 18 | -6 | 24 |
| 7 | Bohemians | 18 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Bohemians |
37.95% ( -0.37) | 27.25% ( -0.17) | 34.81% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 50.04% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.57% ( 0.7) | 55.43% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.38% ( 0.57) | 76.62% ( -0.57) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% ( 0.13) | 28.3% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.98% ( 0.16) | 64.02% ( -0.16) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.79% ( 0.7) | 30.21% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.63% ( 0.82) | 66.37% ( -0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.94% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.32% Total : 34.8% |
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