SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 18 | -6 | 24 |
| 7 | Bohemians | 18 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 19 | 2 | 25 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 18 | -6 | 24 |
| 7 | Bohemians | 18 | 0 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 51.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bohemians in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | Shelbourne |
51.98% ( 0.46) | 26.33% ( -0.19) | 21.69% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 44.51% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.5% ( 0.41) | 58.5% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.92% ( 0.32) | 79.08% ( -0.32) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% ( 0.38) | 22.64% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.73% ( 0.56) | 56.27% ( -0.56) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.53% ( -0.04) | 42.46% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.16% ( -0.03) | 78.84% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 14.28% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.71% Total : 51.97% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.08% Total : 21.69% |
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