SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 19 | 21 | 42 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 18 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 19 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 19 | 2 | 25 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 18 | -6 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 53.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 53.16% | 25.13% | 21.72% |
| Both teams to score 47.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.83% | 54.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.42% | 75.58% |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% | 20.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.22% | 52.79% |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.04% | 39.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.38% | 76.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% 2-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-0 @ 5.47% 3-1 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.59% Total : 53.15% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.47% 1-2 @ 5.45% 0-2 @ 3.43% 1-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.33% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.34% Total : 21.72% |
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