SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 26 | -16 | 27 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 25 | -23 | 15 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 25 | -34 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 26 | -16 | 27 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 25 | -23 | 15 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 25 | -34 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a University College Dublin win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a University College Dublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that University College Dublin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Finn Harps |
40.02% ( 0.37) | 27.4% ( 0.07) | 32.58% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 49.15% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.64% ( -0.36) | 56.36% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.62% ( -0.29) | 77.38% ( 0.29) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% ( 0.03) | 27.56% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.92% ( 0.05) | 63.07% ( -0.05) |
| Finn Harps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.84% ( -0.48) | 32.15% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.36% ( -0.55) | 68.63% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | Finn Harps |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.02% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.57% |
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