Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shamrock Rovers | 24 | 23 | 52 |
2 | Dundalk | 24 | 19 | 45 |
3 | Derry City | 23 | 18 | 43 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Dundalk | 24 | 19 | 45 |
3 | Derry City | 23 | 18 | 43 |
4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 24 | 11 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundalk | Draw | Derry City |
58.44% ( -0.23) | 23.4% ( 0.01) | 18.16% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 47.44% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.15% ( 0.26) | 51.85% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.39% ( 0.22) | 73.61% ( -0.22) |
Dundalk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.52% ( 0.01) | 17.48% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.04% ( 0.02) | 47.96% ( -0.02) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.48% ( 0.41) | 42.52% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.12% ( 0.35) | 78.88% ( -0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Dundalk | Draw | Derry City |
1-0 @ 12.96% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 58.44% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.4% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.81% Total : 18.16% |
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