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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 25
Jul 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park

Dundalk
3 - 0
Finn Harps

Leahy (4'), Ward (7'), Bradley (36')
Leahy (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Donelon (39'), Boyle (45')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Patrick's 1-1 Dundalk
Friday, July 15 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Finn Harps 1-2 Derry
Sunday, July 17 at 6pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Dundalk 3-0 Finn Harps

Dundalk will see this as the perfect fixture to get their season back on track after a couple of poor results on the bounce, especially since they are undefeated at home. While Finn Harps are certainly going to try and put up a fight and create difficulties as they did in their most recent outing, this could be too much for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 9.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.55%) and 3-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Dundalk in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dundalk.

Result
DundalkDrawFinn Harps
71.78% (0.012 0.01) 18.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 9.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 41.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.78% (0.010000000000005 0.01)48.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.37% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)12.09% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)37.63% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Finn Harps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.32% (-0.004999999999999 -0)86.68% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 71.77%
    Finn Harps 9.88%
    Draw 18.34%
DundalkDrawFinn Harps
2-0 @ 14.31%
1-0 @ 13.55%
3-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 5.33% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-1 @ 3.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.03%
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 71.77%
1-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 2.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 18.34%
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 9.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-1 Dundalk
Friday, July 15 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 1-0 Dundalk
Friday, July 8 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 3-0 UCD
Friday, July 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 0-0 Dundalk
Friday, June 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 Shamrock
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 St Patrick's
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Finn Harps 1-2 Derry
Sunday, July 17 at 6pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 3-1 Finn Harps
Friday, July 8 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Finn Harps 0-1 Shamrock
Friday, July 1 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Finn Harps 2-2 St Patrick's
Friday, June 24 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 3-0 Finn Harps
Saturday, June 18 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-2 Finn Harps
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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